The San Diego Padres start their series with the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Padres-Reds prediction and pick.
The Padres will come into the series after finishing their series with the Atlanta Braves. They will play a doubleheader on Monday after their game Saturday was postponed. Dylan Cease will go in game one of the series. He is 5-3 with a 2.45 ERA and a .78 WHIP. In game two of the series, it will be Randy Vasquez on the mound. He is 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA with a 1.79 ERA.
The Reds will be 19-28 on the year. They are coming off three straight oases to the Dodgers, and have Monday night off before playing on Tuesday.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Padres-Reds Odds
San Diego Padres: -1.5 (+125)
Moneyline: -120
Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline: +102
Over: 9.5 (+100)
Under: 9.5 (-122)
How to Watch Padres vs. Reds
Time: 6:40 PM ET/ 3:40 PM PT
TV: SDPA/BSOH
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Padres Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Padres are seventh in the majors in runs scored, while sitting fifth in batting average, sixth in base percentage, and ninth in slugging. Jackson Profar has been amazing for the Padres this year. He is hitting .335 on the year with a .422 on-base percentage. He has nine doubles and seven home runs, leading to a team-leading 31 RBIs. Further, Profar has stolen three bases and scored 27 times. Leading the team in home runs this year is Jaken Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. Cronenworth is hitting .275 on the year with a .344 on-base percentage. He has ten doubles and eight home runs. leading to 30 RBIs. Cronenworth has also scored 21 times this year.
Meanwhile, Tatis leads the team in runs scored this year. Tatis is hitting .255 on the year with a .346 on-base percentage. He has hit seven doubles and eight home runs, leading to 24 RBIs. Tatis has also stolen six bases and scored 31 times this year. Luis Campusano rounds out the hottest bats so far this year. He is hitting .264 on the year with a .309 on-base percentage. He has four home runs and doubles, leading to 25 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Padres are 15th in the majors in ERA this year, while sitting ninth in WHIP and 11th in opponent batting average. Joe Musgrove will be on the mound for the Padres in this one, coming off the IL. He is 3-3 with a 6.37 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. In his last outing on May 1st, he pitched six innings, giving up two runs and one run in a win over the Reds.
Why The Reds Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Reds are 19th in the majors in batting average while sitting 29th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging percentage. Spencer Steer has been great this year. He is hitting .224 on the year with a .337 on-base percentage. Steer has ten doubles and four home runs, leading to 31 RBIs. He has also scored 21 times this year. Elly De La Cruz also has been on fire this year. De La Cruz is hitting .256 on the year with a .352 on-base percentage. De La Cruz has stolen 30 bases this year, leading to 35 runs scored. He has eight doubles, a triple, and nine home runs this year, good for 22 RBIs.
Still, not everyone is great. Jeimer Clandelario is hitting just .220 on the year. He does have 11 doubles and four home runs. helping with 17 RBIs. the next two highest RBI guys are both currently not on the active roster. Christian Encarnaction-Strand is on the IL, while Nick Martini has been sent down to the minors.
Reds' pitching is 16th in team ERA while sitting 24th I WHIP and 12th in opponent batting average. Andrew Abbott will be on the mound for the Reds. He is 2-4 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Last time out, he went seven innings, giving up just one run, but the Reds would lose to the Diamondbacks in that start.
Final Padres-Reds Prediction & Pick
This will be the third game in 36 hours for the Padres, in two different cities. They will finish two games and then hit the road immediately from Atlanta to Cincinnati. They will be bringing in a pitcher who is coming off the IL and will need to eat up innings. Still, the Reds are not nearly the offense that the Padres are and do not have the best pitcher going in this one either. The best play is a higher-scoring game, but close. Take the Reds plus the runs.
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Final Padres-Reds Prediction & Pick: Reds +1.5 (-150)
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