The Philadelphia Phillies took the first of this three-game series on Friday night. The Phillies were rolling through the National League East and had won five of seven games before dropping the previous series' final two games at Fenway Park. They hope to continue that winning run against another American League East foe when they face the Baltimore Orioles this weekend. The Orioles are also one of the league's hottest teams. They had won six straight games before dropping the final game of the Braves series. The Orioles returned to their winning ways on Saturday, making this game the rubber match for the series victory. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Orioles prediction and pick.

Phillies-Orioles Projected Starters 

Zack Wheeler vs. Corbin Burnes

Zack Wheeler (8-3) with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP.

Last Start: @ Boston, 7 IP, 4 SO, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 ER

2024 Road Splits: (3-1) with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Corbin Burnes (7-2) with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Last Start: @ Tampa Bay, 7 IP, 6 SO, 5 H, 1 BB, 0 ER

2024 Home Splits: (3-1) with a 1.70 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP.

Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

MLB Odds: Phillies-Orioles Odds

Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 (-205)

Moneyline: +110

Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+170)

Moneyline: -130

Over: 7 (-110)

Under: 7 (-110)

How to Watch Phillies vs. Orioles

Time: 1:30 PM ET/10:30 AM PT

TV: NBCSP, MASN

Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)

Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Phillies were disgusted by their performance at Fenway Park, as they shouldn't be losing a series to a team like the Red Sox. It would be more acceptable to lose to the Orioles, as they are one of the best teams in the MLB, but that doesn't mean they'll let this one get away. The Phillies have been good on the road this season, owning a 20-12 record.

Why The Orioles Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Corbin Burnes signing started poorly for the Orioles, as they won four of his first five starts. However, he has shown why the Orioles made a good decision acquiring him, by winning his last five games and allowing just four earned runs. The Orioles have hit well at Camden Yards this season despite it turning into a pitcher-friendly ballpark. They have a .308 on-base percentage and averaged 5.2 runs/nine. They've also been hitting well against right-handed pitchers over their last ten, averaging 5.3 runs/nine over that span. The Orioles bounced back from a poor offensive outing on Friday night to score six on the Phillies on Saturday.

Considering the elite starting pitching matchup, this game could depend on the bullpen. There is one group of relievers that are performing much better than the other. The Orioles bullpen has a 1.46 ERA over their last three outings, with a 0.93 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen was their downfall in the Red Sox series, with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP.

Final Phillies-Orioles Prediction & Pick

It doesn't matter for this bet, but there's a chance we could see this matchup again at the end of October. These teams have some of the best pitching rotations in their respective leagues and explosive offenses that will serve them well in the postseason. The Orioles have the upper hand right now, as their bullpen is in good form, and they've been hitting better over the last ten games. Zack Wheeler also struggles away from Citizens Bank Park, while Burnes has spotless ERAs and WHIPs at Camden Yards. If the Orioles capitalize on Wheeler early and get into their bullpen, it should be their series to lose.

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Final Phillies-Orioles Prediction & Pick: Orioles ML (-130)