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MacKenzie Gore looks to bring the hometown Washington Nationals a win in game three of their series with the Atlanta Braves. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Braves-Nationals prediction and pick.
Braves-Nationals Projected Starters
Charlie Morton vs. MacKenzie Gore
Charlie Morton (3-2) with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP
Last Start: Charlie Morton went six innings last time out, giving up a hit and five walks, but no runs. Still, he did not factor into the decision against the Athletics.
2024 Road Splits: Morton is 2-0 on the road this year, with a 3.07 ERA in five starts. Opponents are hitting .210 against Morton on the road this year.
MacKenzie Gore (4-5) with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP.
Last Start: Last time out, Gore gave up six runs in 4.1 innings of work. He gave up seven hits and four walks in those 4.1 innings and took the loss to the Mets.
2024 Home Splits: Gore has made seven starts at home this year. He is 2-3 with a 4.58 ERA at home. Further, he has given up five home runs and opponents are hitting .297 against him at home this year.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Braves-Nationals Odds
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+122)
Moneyline: -142
Washington Nationals: +1.5 (+146)
Moneyline: +120
Over: 8.5 (-105)
Under: 8.5 (-115)
How to Watch Braves vs. Nationals
Time: 4:05 PM ET/ 1:05 PM PT
Article Continues Below
TV: BSSE/MASN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Braves Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Braves are 18th in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 11th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging. Marcell Ozuna has been solid this year on offense. He is hitting .312 on the year with a .389 on-base percentage. He has 18 home runs and 12 doubles, good for 55 RBIs. Further, he has scored 37 times this year. Joining him in having a solid year is Matt Olson. Olson is hitting .234 but with 14 doubles and nine home runs. He also has 33 RBIs and 27 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats is Ozzie Albies. Albies is hitting .272 with four home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
It has been the combination of Ozuna, Albies, and Olson who have carried the Braves in the last week as well. Ozuna is hitting .318 with two home runs, six RBIs, and six runs scored. Albies is hitting just .182 in the last week with a home run, three runs scored, and four RBIs. Finally, Olson is hitting .238 in the last week, with a home run, four RBIS, and three runs scored.
Current members of the Braves have 66 at-bats against MacKenzie Gore. They are not hitting well, hitting just .197 lifetime against him. Ozzie Albies has been solid though. He has four hits in ten at-bats with a double and a home run. Marcell Ozuna has three hits in nine at-bats, with a home run and four RBIs.
Why The Nationals Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Nationals are 24th in runs scored while sitting 24th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging. Joey Meneses has been solid this year. He is hitting .231 this year with a .293 on-base percentage. He has scored just 12 runs and hit just two home runs, but he has driven in 30 runs this year. Jesse Winker has also been solid this season. He is hitting .255 with six home runs, driving in 28 runs this year. He has scored 29 times in the year. Rounding out the top bats on the year is CJ Abrams. He has hit .246 this year, with ten home runs and 27 RBIs. Further, he has 33 runs scored.
In the last week, the offense for the Nationals has been solid. Joey Meneses has not hit great but is driving in runs. He is hitting just ..067 but has four RBIs. Jesse Winker is hitting well, hitting 3275 in the last week, four five RBIs, and three runs scored. Rounding out the top producers in the last week is Joey Gallo. Hallo is hitting .235 in the last week with one run and three RBIs.
Current members of the Nationals have 87 career at-bats against Charlie Morton. they have hit well. As a team, they have hit .276 lifetime against Morton with a .340 on-base percentage. CJ Abrams is hitting .429 with a .500 on-base percentage. He is three for seven with two home runs and three RBIs.
Final Braves-Nationals Prediction & Pick
Neither offense has been amazing this year, but the Braves have been much better. Still, the Nationals have a solid history against Charlie Morton. Morton has not been great this year and will give up some runs in this one. The Braves should get the win, but the best play in this one is on the total. Take the over.
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Final Braves-Nationals Prediction & Pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
