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Kyle Gibson returns to the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals as they visit the Miami Marlins. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Cardinals-Marlins prediction and pick.
Cardinals-Marlins Projected Starters
Kyle Gibson vs. Yonny Chirinos
Kyle Gibson (5-2) with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP.
Last Start: Gibson was solid in his last start, going seven innings and giving up just two hits a walk. No runs scored as he took his fifth win of the year over the Chicago Cubs.
2024 Road Splits: Gibson has been solid on the road this year. In seven starts he is 3-1 with a 2.68 ERA. opponents are hitting just .172 against Gibson on the road this year.
Yonny Chirinos (0-0)
Last Start: This will be the first start of the year for Chirinos
2024 Home Splits: Chirinos has not made appeared in a game since August 19th, 2023.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Cardinals-Marlins Odds
St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 (-111)
Moneyline: -174
Maimi Marlins: +146
Moneyline: +1.5 (-108)
Over: 8.5 (-102)
Under: 8.5 (-120)
How to Watch Cardinals vs. Marlins
Time: 12:40 PM ET/ 9:40 AM PT
TV: BSMW/BSFL
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Cardinals Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Cardinals are 24th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 19th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Nolan Gorman has been driving in a ton of runs this year. He is hitting just .205 this year but with a .283 on-base percentage. He has eight doubles and 15 home runs while driving in 33 runs and scoring 30 times. Nolan Arenado has been solid this year. He is hitting .256 on the year. He has 13 doubles and six home runs. Arenado also has 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats this year is Brendan Donovan. Donovan is hitting .248 this year with five home runs and 30 RBIS while scoring 31 times.
In the last week, Ivan Herrera has been hitting great. He is hitting .500 in the last week with a double and a triple. This has led to three RBIs and three runs scored. Brendan Donovan is also hot. He is hitting .308 in the last week with a home run, three RBIs and two runs scored. Rounding out the most recent productive bats is Pedro Pages. Pages is hitting at .143 on the week, but he has two home runs, four RBIs, and three runs scored.
Why The Marlins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Marlins are 29th in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 24th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 30th in slugging. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has led the way. He is hitting .266 on the year with a .336 on-base percentage. He has 11 doubles and ten home runs, leading to 35 RBIs. Chisholm has also scored 32 times. Leading the team in home runs has been Bryan De La Cruz. De La Cruz is hitting .242 with a .295 on-base percentage. He has 12 home runs with 33 RBIs this year while scoring 32 times this year and rounding out the top bats on the year with Josh Bell. Bell is hitting .240 on the year with a .307 on-base percentage. He has 12 doubles, and seven home runs, leading to 31 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
De La Cruz has been producing a lot in the last week. He is hitting just .185 but with a .241 on-base percentage. He has two doubles, a home run, and five RBIs while scoring twice in the last seven games. Jazz Chisholm has the hot bat right now. He is hitting .455 on the year with a .538 on-base percentage. He has a triple and a home run, leading to four RBIs while scoring three times. Rounding out the top bats on the week is Tim Anderson. Anderson is hitting .414 in the last week, and while he has just one RBI, he has scored three times.
Current MArlins has 98 career at-bats against Kyle Gibson. They have hit .276 against him with five home runs and 21 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm has a solid record against Gibson, going three for 1 1 with a double, a triple, a home run, a walk, and three RBIs. Time Anderson has the most experience, going eight for 28 with a double, a home run, and two RBIs. Jesus Sanchez has also been solid. He is six for 14 against Gibson with a home run and four RBIs.
Final Cardinals-Marlins Prediction & Pick
While many MArlins have a positive track record against Kyle Gibson, the offense has been dreadful this year and not solid lately. The Cardinal's offense is not very good, but they are better than the Marlins. Kyle Gibson has pitched well this year and has been solid on the road. That should be enough for the Cardinals to come away with a victory.
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Final Cardinals-Marlins Prediction & Pick: Cardinals ML (-174)
