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Luis Severino takes the mound for the New York Mets as they host the Miami Marlins. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Marlins-Mets prediction and pick.
Marlins-Mets Projected Starters
Roddery Munoz vs. Luis Severino
Roddery Munoz (1-2) with a 5.95 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP
Last Start: Last time out, Munoz went just four innings, giving up five hits and four walks. He would also give up two home runs and four runs total in a loss to the Guardians.
2024 Road Splits: Munoz has made two starts on the road this year. He is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA and an opponent batting average of .237.
Luis Severino (4-2) with a 3.25 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP.
Last Start: Last time out, Severino gave up just one run on seven hits in eight innings of work. This resulted in him being credited with his second straight win.
2024 Home Splits: Severino has been solid at home this year. In seven starts he has a 2.61 ERA and an opponent batting average of .200. Severino has gone 3-1 in those starts.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Marlins-Mets Odds
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-137)
Moneyline: +160
New York Mets: -1.5 (+114)
Moneyline: -190
Over: 8.5 (-105)
Under: 8.5 (-115)
How to Watch Marlins vs. Mets
Time: 7:10 PM ET/ 4:10 PM PT
TV: BSFL/SNY
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Marlins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Marlins are 29th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 19th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging. The combination of Josh Bell, Jazz Chisholm, and Bryan De La Cruz leads the way. Bell is hitting .249 on the year, leading the team. He has seven home runs and 31 RBIS, plus 27 runs scored. Chisholm is tied with Bell for the team lead in RBIs. He is hitting .246 with nine home runs and 31 RBIs. He has also stolen 12 bases and scored 30 times. De La Cruz leads the team in home runs with 11 of them. He has 12 doubles as well while hitting .247. This has led him to 29 RBIs and 30 runs scored this year.
In the last week, Bell has continued to be great. He is hitting .278 in the last week with a home run, leading to two RBIs and a run scored. De La Cruz has also been solid in the last week. He is hitting .263, but four of his five hits have been for extra bases. He has three doubles and a home run, leading to two RBIs and two runs scored.
Current Marlins have 52 career at0bats against Luis Severino. Time Anderson has the most experience, with 17 at-bats against Severino. He has five hits in 17 at-bats with a home run and an RBI. Jake Burger has also been solid, with two hits in six at-bats. He has a double and a home run, leading to two RBIs.
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mets are 17th in runs scored while sitting 15th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging percentage. Brandon Nimmo has been great this year. He is hitting .217 on the year but with a .341 on-base percentage. He has seven home runs and 11 doubles, leading to 32 RBIS and 32 runs scored. Meanwhile, Pete Alonso continues to slug well. He is hitting .236 on the year but with 16 doubles and 14 home runs this year. This has led to 32 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats on the year is Starling Marte. Marte is hitting .284 but has a .332 on-base percentage. He has six home runs and 26 RBIS. Further, Marte has stolen ten bases and scored 33 times.
Mark Vientos has been solid in the last week. He is hitting .231 with a .286 on-base percentage. He has a double and four RBIS with a run scored in the last week. JD Martinez has also been producing well. He is hitting just .133 but has three RBIs and two runs scored. Rounding out the most production as of late is Francisco Lindo. He is hitting .222 in the last week with a home run and an RBI while scoring four times.
Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick
This game is all about the pitching. Luis Severino has been solid this year while being better at home. Roddery Munoz has been giving up a lot of home runs and struggled on the road. The Met's offense is better overall but has struggled as of late. While thye have struggled, they are the better team overall. It is clear they are working their way back from their trip to London and should have their legs back under in this one.
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Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets -1.5 (+114)
