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It is an NL East showdown as the New York Mets visit the Washington Nationals. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Mets-Nationals prediction and pick.
Game one of the series saw an offensive explosion. A sacrifice fly opened the scoring for the Mets in the second inning before Jesse Winker tied it up in the bottom of the inning. Home runs from Mark Vientos for the Mets and Joey Gallo for the Nationals made it a 4-3 game for the Nationals after the fourth. The Mets would strike back though. They would add four runs in the fifth inning and would build an 8-5 lead going into the bottom of the sixth inning. The Nationals would get one more chance, scoring twice in the bottom of the ninth and having a man on third, but falling 8-7.
The two will face off on Tuesday night for game two of the series. It will be David Peterson on the mound for the Mets. He has pitched just five innings this year without a decision but has a 3.60 ERA. DJ Herz will be on the mound for the Nationals, as he makes his first start of the year.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mets-Nationals Odds
New York Mets: -1.5 (+105)
Moneyline: -152
Washington Nationals: +1.5 (-126)
Moneyline: +128
Over: 9.5 (-102)
Under: 9.5 (-120)
How to Watch Mets vs. Nationals
Time: 4:05 PM ET/ 1:05 PM PT
TV: SNY/MASN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mets sit 15th in the majors in runs this year, while sitting 16th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging. Brandon Nimmo has led the way on offense. He is hitting just .216, but he gets on base at a .345 rate. He has ten doubles, two triples, and seven home runs this year, leading to 31 RBIs. That leads the team. Further, Nimmo has scored 30 times this year. Meanwhile, Pete Alonso leads the team in home runs this year. He comes in hitting just .234 with a .307 on-base percentage. Alonso has 14 doubles and 13 home runs, leading to 30 RBIs. He has scored 33 times this year.
Leading the team in runs scored this year in Francisco Lindor. Like many Mets, he is not hitting well. He is hitting .228 on the year with a .299 on-base percentage. Lindor has 13 doubles and nine home runs, leading to his 30 RBIs.Further, he has stolen nine bases and scored 33 runs this year. Also stealing bases well is Staling Marte. He is hitting .275 with a .323 on-base percentage. He has stolen ten bases and scored 30 times this year. Marte also has six home runs and 23 RBIs.
Mets pitching is 22nd in team ERA while sitting 26th in WHIP and ninth in opponent batting average. Luis Severino will be on the mound for the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Last time out he gave up five runs, four earned in 5.1 innings of work. He has given up five runs in two of the last three games.
Why The Nationals Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Nationals are 23rd in runs scored while sitting 23rd in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging percentage. Luis Garcia Jr. has been great this year. He is hitting .267 on the year with ten doubles and five home runs. This has led to 26 RBIs. Further, he has stolen eight bases and 16 runs scored this year. Joey Meneses has also been solid this year. Meneses is hitting .240 on the year with a .299 on-base percentage. He has seven doubles and two home runs, leading to 30 RBIs. He also has 12 runs scored.
CJ Abrams leads the team in home runs this year. He is hitting .249 on the year with a .295 on-base percentage. He has ten doubles, four triples, and nine home runs, leading to 26 RBIs. Abrams has scored 32 times as well. Meanwhile, Jesse Winker has been great. He is hitting .241 on the year with a .352 on-base percentage. Winker has ten doubles and 28 RBIs this year. Further, he has stolen ten bases and scored 26 times this year.
The Nationals are 12th in team ERA, 21st in WHIP, and 26th in opponent batting average. Patrick Corbin will be on the mound for the Nationals. He is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA on the year and a 1.67 WHIP. Corbin has been better as of late. In April, Corbin had a 6.59 ERA. In May, he had a 4.93 ERA. Still, Crobin was 1-3 and the Nationals have lost his last four starts.
Final Mets-Nationals Prediction & Pick
While Luis Severino has not been good this year, and Patrick Corbin has continued to struggle. He started May off well, giving up just six runs in 16.2 innings over three starts to start the month. Since then, he has given up 14 runs in 18 innings in three starts. The Mets have the better offense and will easily beat Patrick Corbin.
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Final Mets-Nationals Prediction & Pick: Mets ML (-152)
