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Kenta Maeda returns to the mound for the Detroit Tigers as they face the Washington Nationals. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Nationals-Tigers prediction and pick.
Nationals-Tigers Projected Starters
Mitchell Parker vs. Kenta Maeda
Mitchell Parker (4-3) with a 3.47 ERA and 1.05 WHIP
Last Start: Last time out, Parker went seven innings against the Braves, giving up three hits and no walks. Still, he gave up a home run and two runs, not factoring into the decision as the Nationals took the loss.
2024 Road Splits: Parker has struggled on the road this year. In six starts, Parker is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA. Further, opponents are hitting .250 against him on the road this year.
Kenta Maeda (2-2) with a 6.25 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.
Last Start: Last time out, Maeda made just two pitches before leaving the game with an injury. In his last full start, he went 4.2 innings, giving up five runs and taking the loss to the Red Sox.
2024 Home Splits: Maeda has not been much better at home than on the road. At home, Maeda is 2-1 with a 3.55 ERA and opponents have been hitting .234 against Maeda.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Nationals-Tigers Odds
Washington Nationals: -1.5 (+152)
Moneyline: -104
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-184)
Moneyline: -112
Over: 8 (-108)
Under: 8 (-112)
How to Watch Nationals vs. Tigers
Time: 6:40 PM ET/ 3:40 PM PT
TV: MASN2/BSDET
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Nationals Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Nationals are 26th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 22nd in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging. CJ Abrams has led the way on offense this year. He is hitting .245 this year, with a .292 on-base percentage.e He has ten home runs and 31 RBIS while scoring 35 times this year. All three of those marks are the best on the team. Joey Meneses is second on the team in RBIs this year. He is hitting just .228 on the year but with two home runs and 30 RBIs. Still, he has scored just 12 times. Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia round out the top bats. Wiker is hitting .261 on the year with 28 RBIS and 31 runs scored while also stealing 11 bases. Garcia is hitting .270 on the year, with 27 RBIs, 18 runs scored, and eight stolen bases.
CJ Abrams has continued to drive in runs in the last week. He is hitting just .208 but with a home run and five RBIs in the last six games. Meanwhile, Jesse Winkey is on fire. He is hitting .500 in the last seven games, with a .654 base percentage. He has scored five times in the last week while driving in their runs. Rounding out the top bats over the last week is Joey Gallo. Gallo is hitting .222 with a home run, and four RBIs.
Three players on the Nationals have faced Kenta Maeda in their careers. Joey Gallo is three for six with two walks and a home run. Jesse Winker is four for eight with a walk and an RBI. Eddie Rosario has struggled though, going just one for 11 against Maeda in his career.
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 18th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 25th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging. Matt Vierling is leading the way among active batters with Kerry Carpenter on the IL. Vierling is hitting .276 this year with a .314 on-base percentage. He has nine doubles and seven home runs, good for 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored. Mark Canha is also producing. He is hitting .233 on the year with a .346 on-base percentage. He has six home runs and 26 RBIs with 30 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats on the year is Riley Greene. Greene is hitting .243 this year with a .342 on-base percentage. He has 11 home runs and 25 RBIs while scoring 43 times.
In the last week, Jake Rogers has been solid. He is hitting .400 over the last week with three home runs and five RBIs. He has also scored three times. Zach McKinstry is also hitting well. In his last week, he is hitting .267 with a home run and four RBIS while scoring twice. Riley Freene is hitting hitting great, but scoring well. He is hitting just .182 over the last week, but with four runs scored.
No current member of the Tigers has faced Mitchell Parker before but Andy Ibanez has hit left-handed pitching well. He is hitting .340 this year against lefties with two home runs and 13 RBIS. Matt Vierling is also hitting .316 against left-handed putting this year.
Final Nationals-Tigers Prediction & Pick
Neither offense is very good. The Tigers have struggled heavily, minus one solid inning against the Brewers over the weekend. While Mitchell Parker has not been good, Kenta Maeda has had some very bad starts of late. With questions about his health, take the Nationals on the road in this one.
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Final Nationals-Tigers Prediction & Pick: Nationals ML (-104)
