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Grayson Rodriguez looks for his seventh win of the season as he takes the mound for the Baltimore Orioles against the Tampa Bay Rays. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with an Orioles-Rays prediction and pick.
Orioles-Rays Projected Starters
Grayson Rodriguez vs. Taj Bradley
Grayson Rodriguez (6-2) with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP
Last Start: Grayson Rodriguez went 6.2 innings last time out, giving up seven hits and no walks. He gave up just two runs, with only one earned on his way to his sixth victory of the year, that one at the hands of the Blue Jays
2024 Road Splits: Rodriguez has struggled
Taj Bradley (1-3) with 5.81 ERA and 1.25 WHIP
Last Start: Last time out was a struggle for Bradley. He went just 3.1 innings, giving up nine hits and three walks. He also gave up four home runs, leading to nine runs being scored and he took the loss against the Orioles.
2024 Home Splits: Bradley has been much better at home than on the road this year. He has an 11.88 ERS at home, but in three starts, he has a 3.00 ERA and a .169 opponent batting average at home. Still, he is 0-2 at home this year.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Orioles-Rays Odds
Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+112)
Moneyline: -148
Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 (-134)
Moneyline: +126
Over: 8 (-115)
Under: 8 (-105)
How to Watch Orioles vs. Rays
Time: 4:10 ET/1:10 PT
Article Continues Below
TV: MASN, Bally Sports Sun, MLB.TV
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Orioles Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Oriole's offense is tied for fourth in the majors in runs scored, while sitting tenth in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage, and first in slugging. Adley Rutschman has led the way this year. He is hitting .307 on the year with a .345 on-base percentage. He has eight doubles and 12 home runs, which has led to 43 RBIs and 34 runs scored. Gunnar Henderson has also been amazing this year. He is hitting .265 with a .370 on-base percentage. This year, Henderson has nine doubles, four triples, and 19 home runs. This has led to 42 RBIs and 47 runs scored in the year. Joining Henderson in having a solid year is Jordan Westburg. He is hitting .276 with nine home runs this year. Westburg has 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
Ryan Mountcastle has been amazing in the last week of play. In his previous seven games, he is hitting .267 with four home runs. This has led to him driving in nine runs in the last seven games while scoring five times. Adley Rutschman has also been solid. He is hitting .367 in the last week with two home runs and six RBIs. He has scored five times. Rounding out the hottest bats is Anthony Santander. He has three home runs and six RBIs in the last week. Santander has also scored six times and hit .333 in the last week.
Current members of the Orioles have 48 career at-bats against Taj Bradley. they have hit .333 against him with six home runs. Ryan Mountcastle has two at-bats with two hits and a walk against Bradley. Both hits are home runs, which has led to four RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has four hits on nine bats with a home run and two RBIs as well.
Why The Rays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Rays are 23rd in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 19th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging. Isaac Paredes has been amazing this year. He is hitting .298 on the year with a .383 on-base percentage. He has 13 doubles and 10 home runs this year, good for 37 total RBIs and 27 runs scored. Meanwhile, Yandy Diaz is also driving in runs. He is hitting .243 on the year with a .317 on-base percentage. Diaz has 12 doubles and four home runs, leading to 29 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
In the last week, it is Brandon Lowe who has been amazing. He is hitting .333 on the week with a .400 on-base percentage. He has a home run and six RBIs, plus four runs scored in the last five games. Isaac Paredes has also been solid in the last week. He is hitting .318 in his last five games, with five RBIs and three runs scored.
Members of the Rays have 37 career at-bats against Grayson Rodriguez. They have hit just .189 against him. Yandy Diaz and Jose Siri have the only extra-base hits. Diaz is two for nine with a double. Sirir is two for two with a double. Still, they do not have an RBI against Rodriguez.
Final Orioles-Rays Prediction & Pick
There are two major factors in this game. First, the Orioles have the better starting pitcher going in this one. Second, they have the better offense. The Rays have regularly struggled and this game will be no different. Take the Orioles in this one.
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Final Orioles-Rays Prediction & Pick: Orioles ML (-148)
