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Ryan Pepiot leads the Tampa Bay Rays into a game with the Atlanta Braves. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Rays-Braves prediction and pick.
Rays-Braves Projected Starters
Ryan Pepiot vs. Charlie Morton
Ryan Pepiot (4-3) with a 4.17 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.
Last Start: Pepiot went six innings in his last start. He would give up nine hits including two home runs. He struck out nine, but gave up four runs, taking the loss to the Orioles.
2024 Road Splits: Pepiot has been great on the road. In three starts he is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.72 opponent batting average.
Charlie Morton (3-3) with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.
Last Start: Morton struggled in his last start. He went five innings, giving up five runs and four earned on seven hits. taking the loss to the Washington Nationals.
2024 Home Splits: Morton has struggled at home this year. He is 1-2 in six starts with a 4.59 ERA and a .256 opponent batting average.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Rays-Braves Odds
Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 (-152)
Moneyline: +134
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+126)
Moneyline: -158
Over: 9 (-115)
Under: 9 (-105)
How to Watch Rays vs. Braves
Time: 4:10 PM ET/ 1:10 PM PT
TV: BSSUN/BSSE
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Rays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Rays are 25th in the majors in runs this year while sitting 22nd in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging. Isaac Paredes has been great this year. He is hitting .286 on the year with a .365 on-base percentage. He has ten home runs and 38 RBIs this year while scoring 27 times. Yandy Diaz has also been solid. He has hit .260 this year while getting on base at a .328 rate. He has four home runs and 30 RBIs while scoring 25 times. Scoring a lot of runs is something Jose Caballero has done well. He is hitting .250 on the year and has stolen 22 bases, which has helped him score 30 times this year. Caballero has also driven in 20 runs.
Coming into the game driving in runs is Brandon Lowe. He is hitting just .167 in the last week but with a home run and four RBIs. Meanwhile, Yandy Diaz is hitting well. He is hitting. 400 on the week with ha n RBI and two runs scored. The Rays are not hitting well overall though. They are hitting just .193 as a team in the last seven games, scoring just 18 runs.
Current members of the Rays have 22 career at-bats against Charlie Morton. thye have just just .182. Yandy Diaz is 2-3 against him, while both Amed Rosario and Taylor Walls are 1-2. The team asl does not have an RBI lifetime against Morton.
Why The Braves Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Braves are 19th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 13th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging. Marcell Ozuna has led the way this year. He is hitting .332 on the year with 18 home runs and 57 RVBIS. He has also scored 39 times. Matt Olson is also having a solid year. He is hitting .245 this year with ten home runs and 37 RBIs. He has scored 28 times. Rounding out the top bats is Ozzie Albies. Albie is hitting .270 with a .329 on-base percentage. He has 19 doubles and four home runs, leading to 31 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
Matt Olson has been great in the last week as well. He is hitting .348 in the last week with a home run and four RBIs. Still, he has scored just once. Marcell Ozuna is also hitting well. He is hitting .417 in the last week. He has two RBIs and two runs scored. Rounding out the top bats in the last week is Ozzie Albies. He is hitting .259 with two RBIs and three runs scored.
Current members of the Braves have just six lifetimes at-bats against Ryan Pepiot, with Brian Anderson having the lone hit, going one for three. Still, Marcell Ozuna has hit righties hard this year. While he is hitting below his season average at .306, he has 15 home runs and 43 RBIs against Righties. Orland Arcia has also hit six home runs this year against right-handed pitching.
Final Rays-Braves Prediction & Pick
While both teams have disappointed to varying degrees this year, there is still a lot of potential for both teams. Ryan Pepiot has been the better pitcher this year out of the two. Still, the Braves can break open a game with ease. They are still the better team in this one and should find a way to score against the Rays in this one. Take the Braves.
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Final Rays-Braves Prediction & Pick: Braves -1.5 (+126)
