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Justin Verlander takes the mound for the Houston Astros as they host the Detroit Tigers. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Tigers-Astros prediction and pick.
Tigers-Astros Projected Starters
Jack Flaherty vs. Justin Verlander
Jack Flaherty (3-2) with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP.
Last Start: Flaherty went five innings in his last start, giving up just two hits. He struck out four and did not give up a run on his way to a win over the Rangers.
2024 Road Splits: Flaherty has been better on the road than at home. He is 3-1 in seven starts on the road, with a 2.43 ERA. Further, opponents are hitting just .197 against him on the road.
Justin Verlander (3-2) with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP.
Last Start: Verlander went five innings in his last start, giving up seven hits and four runs. He would strike out three, but not factor into the decision as the Astros fell 9-7 to the Angels.
2024 Home Splits: Verlander has struggled at home. He is 0-1 in three starts with a 5.40 ERA and an opponent batting average of .270.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Tigers-Astros Odds
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-192)
Moneyline: +112
Houston Astros: -1.5 (+158)
Moneyline: -132
Over: 7.5 (-105)
Under: 7.5 (-115)
How to Watch Tigers vs. Astros
Time: 4:10 PM ET/ 1:10 PM PT
Article Continues Below
TV: BSDET/SCHN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 18th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 24th in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging. Riley Greene has led the way this year. He is hitting .245 on the year with 12 home runs and 14 doubles. Greene has 30 RBIS and 46 runs scored. Joining him in having a great year is Matt Vierling. He is hitting .267 on the year with a .307 on-base percentage. He has. eight home runs and 29 RBIS, plus has scored 28 times. He is rounding out the top bats of the year with Mark Canha. Canha is hitting .243 with a .350 on-base percentage. He has six home runs and 28 RBIs, as well as scoring 32 times.
Riley Green also comes into this game hot. He is hitting .250 in the last week with two doubles, a triple, and a home run. He has driven in six runs and scored six times in the last week. Gio Urshela is hitting great. He is hitting .364 in the previous week with a .440 on-base percentage. He has driven in five runs in the last six games. Further, Mark Canha is hitting well. He is hitting .286 in the last week with three RBIs and four runs scored.
Current members of the Tigers have 44 career at-bats against Verlander. They are hitting just .045 against him with a .125 on-base percentage. Matt Chapmans has 23 career at-bats against Verlander, with just one hit and two walks. The one hit is a home run, but he has also struck out 13 times. Thario Estrada has the other hit, going one for three against Verlander.
Why The Astros Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Astros are 12th in the majors in runs scored while sitting second in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging. Kyle Tucker leads the way. He is hitting .266 on the year with a .395 on-base percentage. Tucker has 19 home runs and 40 RBIs, with 42 runs scored this year. Yordan Alvarez is also hitting well. He is hitting .293 on the year with 14 home runs and 35 RVIs. He has scored 40 times. Jose Altuve leads the team in hitting. He is hitting .294 on the year. He also has ten home runs and 26 RBIs. Further, Altuve has stolen nine bases and scored 39 times.
Jordan Alvarez is also on a hot streak. He is hitting .375 in the last week with four doubles, a triple, and two home runs. This has led to seven RBIs and seven runs scored. Altuve is also hitting well. He is hitting .375 in the last week with a home run and five RBIs. He has scored four times. Rounding out the hottest bats is Yanier Diaz. Diaz is also hitting .357 with a home run and four RBIs. He has scored just once in the last week though.
Current members of the Astros have 62 career at-bats against Jack Flaherty. They are hitting .242 against him with a home run and four RBIs. Jose Abreu is three for six against Flaherty with a home run and three RBVIS. Jose Altuve is also three for seven with an RBI.
Final Tigers-Astros Prediction & Pick
While the two pitchers in this match-up have similar season stats, and Jack Flaherty has the better splits, the offensive units will be the difference. The Astros are hitting much better as of late, and they will be able to hit well against Flaherty. Take the Astros to get the win.
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Final Tigers-Astros Prediction & Pick: Astros ML (-132)
