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Spencer Schwellenbach looks for his first win of the year for the Atlanta Braves as they host the Detroit Tigers. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Tigers-Braves prediction and pick.
Tigers-Braves Projected Starters
Casey Mize vs. Spencer Schwellebach
Casey Mize (1-4) with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP.
Last Start: Mize went six innings last time out against the Nationals. He gave up four hits and a run in the game, taking the no-decision as the Tigers beat the Nationals 7-2
2024 Road Splits: Mize has made six starts on the road, going 1-2. He has a 6.15 ERA on the road and an opponent batting average of .333 against him.
Spencer Schwellenbach (0-2) with a 6.32 ERA and a 1.34 ERA.
Last Start: Last time out, Schwellenbach went six innings. giving up four hits and two runs. He did not factor into the decision as the Braves fell 4-2 to the Orioles.
2024 Home Splits: Schwellenbach has made just one start at home this year. He gave up five hits and a walk with three runs and a home run in a loss to the Nationals.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Tigers-Braves Odds
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-152)
Moneyline: +138
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+126)
Moneyline: -164
Over: 9 (+100)
Under: 9 (-122)
How to Watch Tigers vs. Braves
Time: 7:20 PM ET/ 4:20 PM PT
TV: BSDET/BSSO
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 17th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 23rd in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging. Riley Greene has led the way this year. He is hitting .252 on the year with a .343 on-base percentage. He has 14 doubles and 14 home runs, leading to 36 RBIs on the year. Greene also has 48 runs scored. Meanwhile, Matt Vierling leads the team in hitting this year. He is hitting .261 on the year with nine doubles and nine home runs. He has 30 RBIs and 30 runs scored as well. ERounding out the top bats is Mark Canha. He is hitting .243 on the year with a .346 on-base percentage. Canha has just six hoes me runs, but 29 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
Riley Greene also comes into this game hot. He is hitting .333 in the last week with a triple and three home runs. He has 11 RBIs in the last six games and five runs scored. Mark Canha is also hot. He is hitting .333 in the last week with three RBIs and four runs scored. Rounding out the hot bats is Gio Urshela. Urshela is hitting .375 in the last week, with a .500 on-base percentage. Urshela has two RBIs and a run scored in the last week.
Why The Braves Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Braves are 15th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 13th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging. Marcell Ozuna leads the way. He is hitting .322 this year with a .394 on-base percentage. Ozuna has 15 doubles and 20 home runs, leading to 62 RBIs. He has also scored 43 times this year. Matt Olson is having a solid year as well. He is hitting .261 on the year with a .342 on-base percentage. Olson has 11 home runs and 38 RBIs while scoring 33 times. Ozzie Albies rounds out the top bats of the year. He is hitting .260 this year with 20 doubles and four home runs. This has led to 32 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
Austin Riley comes into this game hot. He is hitting .304 in the last week but with three home runs and eight RBIs. He has also scored five times in the last six games. Also hitting well in the last week is Marcell Ozuna. He is hitting .471 in the last week with two home runs and seven RBIs. Ozuna has scored four in the last week. Rounding out the hottest bats is Matt Olson. He is hitting .478 in the last week, with four doubles and two home runs, leading to four RBIS and six runs scored.
Only three members of the Atlanta Braves have at-bats against Casey Mize. All three of them have three at-bats. Olson has been the best, with two hits in the three at-bats and a home run.
Final Tigers-Braves Prediction & Pick
While Spencer Schwellenbach has not been good this year, Casey Mize has not been great either. The Braves have a much better offense, and their best players are hitting well right now. Both Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna come into the game hot and that will be the difference in this one.
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Final Tigers-Braves Prediction & Pick: Braves ML (-164)
