The 2024 NFL offseason has been nothing short of eventful for the Washington Commanders. Amid the flurry of transactions and strategic decisions, one move stands out for its sheer audacity and potential for high risk: the acquisition of quarterback Marcus Mariota. Many have questioned whether this gamble will pay off for a franchise desperate to reassert itself as a contender in the NFC East. As the dust settles, it's worth examining the factors that make this move particularly precarious and what it means for the Commanders' future.

The Commanders' 2024 Offseason

The Commanders entered the 2024 offseason with a clear mission: address their deficiencies and build a team capable of contending in the wide-open NFC East. General Manager Terry Fontenot went on a spending spree, bolstering the defense with veterans like Bobby Wagner and Jeremy Chinn, while also adding a dynamic weapon in running back Austin Ekeler. However, the move that raised the most eyebrows was the signing of quarterback Marcus Mariota to a one-year, $6 million deal. While some saw it as a depth move with an upside, others questioned whether Mariota could be the answer under center for the Commanders.

Jayden Daniels and Dan Quinn with Commanders Field in background

Here we'll look at the player we consider the Washington Commanders' riskiest free agency move in the 2024 NFL offseason.

A Tale of Two Careers: Can Mariota Revive His Career in Washington?

Marcus Mariota's NFL career has been a rollercoaster ride. Drafted second overall in 2015 by the Tennessee Titans, Mariota displayed electrifying athleticism and a knack for improvisation. However, inconsistency plagued his tenure, with struggles with accuracy and decision-making hindering his development as a pure passer. He signed with the Las Vegas Raiders in 2020, spending two seasons primarily as a backup to Derek Carr. While flashes of brilliance remained, questions about his ability to lead a franchise persisted. He has also had stints in Atlanta and Philadelphia. Now, at 30 years old, Mariota finds himself in Washington, a team desperate for stability at quarterback.

Why Mariota is a Risky Gamble

Jalen Hurts started all 18 games for the Eagles in 2023. This limited Mariota's playing time to a few snaps whenever Hurts needed a brief break. Mariota's only significant action came during the second half of Week 18 against the Giants, when the Eagles rested their starters. Despite earning $5 million in 2023, Mariota's 46 snaps were largely inconsequential. In truth, he did not perform well in training camp and was clearly outperformed by QB3 Tanner McKee during preseason games.

There are several factors that make the Mariota signing a gamble for the Commanders. Firstly, his recent lack of starting experience is a major concern. In Philly, Mariota saw limited action, primarily in garbage time situations. While he displayed a strong work ethic and leadership qualities, it's unclear how he'll translate that into success as a full-time starter after a two-year hiatus.

Secondly, Mariota's accuracy issues remain a significant question mark. Throughout his career, Mariota has struggled with ball placement, particularly on deep throws. The Commanders boast a talented receiving corps with Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, but Mariota will need to make them consistent targets for the offense to truly click.

Thirdly, the NFC East is a gauntlet. The division boasts established quarterbacks like Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts. If he wants to make a clear impact, Mariota will have to elevate his game quickly to compete with these signal-callers week in and week out.

Jun 5, 2024; Ashburn, VA, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5), Commanders quarterback Marcus Mariota (0), and Commanders quarterback Sam Hartman (11) prepare to pass a ball during OTA workouts at Commanders Park.
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Potential Rewards: Can Mariota Unlock His Potential?

Despite the risks, the Mariota signing is not without its potential rewards. Mariota's mobility remains a significant weapon. With a talented offensive line and a dynamic backfield featuring Ekeler and Brian Robinson Jr, the Commanders could unlock a run-heavy offense with Mariota as the triggerman. Additionally, Mariota has shown flashes of brilliance as a passer in the past. With the right coaching and offensive scheme, he could potentially improve his accuracy and decision-making, developing into a legitimate starting quarterback.

Furthermore, even in the likelihood that Mariota plays back-up to Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have a two-pronged approach that mitigates the risk associated with Mariota and provides a long-term solution at the quarterback position.

The Verdict: A Calculated Gamble with Big Implications

The Commanders' decision to sign Marcus Mariota is a calculated gamble with significant implications. Yes, Mariota's talent and athleticism are undeniable. However, his recent lack of starter experience and accuracy issues raise concerns. That said, the potential rewards are enticing. If Mariota thrives as a backup and mentor, the Commanders could find themselves in playoff contention. Only time will tell if Mariota can reinvent his career in Washington, but one thing's for certain: the Commanders' gamble on Mariota will be one of the most intriguing storylines to watch unfold in the 2024 NFL season.

Looking Ahead

The numerous uncertainties surrounding Mariota's health, consistency, and fit within the team's offensive scheme make this a gamble of considerable proportions. As the 2024 season approaches, Commanders fans and analysts will be eager to see whether this bet will pay off or become another chapter in the franchise's history of frustrations.