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Neither team may have had the start they were hoping for, but that doesn't take away from the excitement of a World Series rematch when the Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Texas Rangers for a two-game set in Arlington. The Diamondbacks are trying to crawl back into the National League West standings after winning two of three games at Dodger Stadium but gave it back by losing two to the lowly Marlins in their most recent three-game series. The Rangers are below .500 after a six-game losing streak over their last two series. The Phillies swept them in a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park, outscoring the Rangers 21-8. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Diamondbacks-Rangers prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks, and he's been one of Arizona's best pitchers this season. It started badly for Pfaadt, allowing 12 earned runs over his first three starts, but he has corrected his mistakes and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any start since. His most recent outing against the Dodgers is something to build on, as he allowed two earned runs and four hits over six innings against a loaded Dodgers offense.
Dane Dunning and Andrew Heaney are rested and ready to pitch for the Rangers, and Texas hasn't decided which will be pitching. In terms of numbers, it's pretty similar, as they both have an ERA in the high fours. Dunning is the most rested, so he will likely take the mound. Dunning is 3-3 this season with a 4.43 ERA, and the Rangers have won five of his eight starts.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Diamondbacks-Rangers Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+146)
Moneyline: -118
Texas Rangers: +1.5 (-178)
Moneyline: +100
Over: 8.5 (-122)
Under: 8.5 (+100)
How to Watch Diamondbacks vs. Rangers
Time: 8:05 PM ET/5:05 PM PT
TV: ARID, Bally Sports Network
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Article Continues Below
Why The Diamondbacks Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Diamondbacks have a small edge in the hitting department and with their starter in this game. The Diamondbacks are batting .226 with 3.3 runs/nine over their last ten games, which is hard to believe could be better than their opponents. The Rangers are batting just .193 with 2.9 runs/nine.
Pfaadt is the much more reliable starter, with the Diamondbacks winning his last two starts and three of his past five.
Why The Rangers Will Cover The Spread/Win
There isn't much reason to bet on the Rangers in this matchup. Anything can happen in the MLB, but the Diamondbacks have the edge with their starter and bullpen. The Diamondbacks have a better record over their last ten and the hotter offense. It's better to be safe and bet on the total or the Diamondbacks, even though the Rangers could easily break out and win this game.
Final Diamondbacks-Rangers Prediction & Pick
These teams have had abysmal offensive performances over their last ten games, averaging less than six runs/nine combined. The Rangers are batting .193 over that span, with a .277 on-base percentage. The only reason the Rangers are averaging 2.9 runs/nine is their 1.4 home runs per game, but they won't get that luxury against Pfaadt, as he only allowed six home runs in 60 innings this season. The Rangers offense may be even worse than their numbers suggest in this game.
This series may not be for fans who don't like pitching matchups, as there aren't likely to be many runs scored. Take the under in this game until these offenses show us they can perform differently.
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Final Diamondbacks-Rangers Prediction & Pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
