The United States Men’s Basketball Team will attempt to win their fourth consecutive Olympic gold medal as they prepare to take on a dangerous France squad in the final game of the Tokyo 2020 Olympics. It’s time to make a USA-France Gold Medal Game prediction and pick.

France defeated Team USA in the opening match of the tournament, 83-76. However, the loss only woke up the star-loaded American team as they have beaten every opponent by an average of 30.5 points since.

Here’s how sportsbooks have set the USA-France Gold Medal Game odds.

Olympic Odds: USA-France Gold Medal Odds

USA -12.5 (-112)

France +12.5 (-108)

Over 175.5 Points (-110)

Under 175.5 Points (-110)

*Watch the Olympic Gold Medal Game with fuboTV (click for free trial)*

Why the USA Could Cover The Spread

Team USA will have loads of confidence heading into the Gold Medal Game. However, that confidence is often a fault for this American team, as they have gotten off to a slow start in nearly every game of this tournament.

In their two previous knockout round victories, they found themselves trailing for large periods of the first half before showing what they are truly capable of in the second half and blowing out their opponent. Team USA is +41 in the third quarter, including outscoring Australia 32-10 in the Semifinals.

Kevin Durant has been the best American player and will be the difference-maker in this Gold Medal Game. In the opener, he played only 20 minutes and scored just 10 points. Moreover, he struggled defensively and fouled out.

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However, since the knockout rounds began, we have seen Durant play like his normal two-time Finals MVP self. Over the last two games, he is averaging 26 points on 55% shooting.

However, this game will not be decided by Kevin Durant alone. The USA will need support from their other stars like Jrue Holiday and Devin Booker, who have become established starters in Gregg Popovich’s lineup.

Why France Could Cover The Spread

If France is to double over on Team USA this Olympics and come away with the gold, they will need to follow the same strategy they did in the opener — defense and rebounding.

France is built around the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year, Rudy Gobert. His defensive excellence has certainly spread to the rest of the France team, as they play the best defense out of every team at the Olympics by far.

For instance, France gave up just 76 points to Team USA in the first match and held Luka Donic and the explosive offense of Slovenia to their tournament low last game. They are holding their opponents to an average of 75.8 points per game.

France has a massive size advantage in the paint. With three 7-footers on the team, they tower over Bam Adebayo and Draymond Green. France had a 33-25 rebounding advantage against Team USA in the Olympic opener and had 16 second chance points compared to the Unites States’ seven.

If the French team can control the glass and slow the game down, forcing Team USA to play a half-court offense, they will have a chance to come away with their first-ever gold in men’s hoops.

Final USA-France Gold Medal Game Prediction & Pick

Gregg Popovich and his men will be looking to avenge their loss to France in the Olympic opener and remind the rest of the world they are still the team to beat when it comes to international basketball. Since Game 1 of this tournament, Team USA is 4-0 against the spread and is shooting 54% from the field and 42.3% from 3.

Furthermore, Team USA has won gold in men’s basketball 15 times out of 18 since it became an Olympic sport.

For those reasons, Team USA will not only get their revenge on France, but they will cover the spread for the fifth consecutive time.