Week 14 delivered one of the wildest, sloppiest, and most season-defining games of the 2025 NFL calendar. The Los Angeles Chargers and Philadelphia Eagles battled through turnovers, big plays, and late-game drama befitting two teams fighting for postseason position. The Chargers’ overtime triumph shook up the AFC and NFC playoff pictures in meaningful ways. With Jalen Hurts struggling, Justin Herbert grinding through adversity, and Cameron Dicker delivering a flawless kicking performance, both teams leave Week 14 with very different postseason realities. Now, the question becomes: Which contender strengthened its footing, and whose road just got more treacherous?
Chaotic Week 14 showdown
The Chargers edged the Eagles 22-19 in overtime at SoFi Stadium. Los Angeles won a defensive struggle highlighted by eight total turnovers and defined by clutch special teams play. The Chargers opened the scoring with a 4-yard touchdown from Justin Herbert to Omarion Hampton. However, the middle quarters belonged to the kickers. Cameron Dicker and Jake Elliott traded field goals in a gritty chess match that left the score tied 13-9 entering the fourth.
Philadelphia seemed poised to seize control when Saquon Barkley ripped off a stunning 52-yard touchdown. That gave the Eagles a 16-13 lead. Herbert, though, battled through two fumbles of his own and leaned on a productive ground attack that tallied 169 rushing yards. Meanwhile, Dicker came through repeatedly. His 46-yard field goal forced overtime before he nailed the game-winning 54-yarder after Philly failed to score on its opening OT possession. Herbert’s 66 rushing yards proved crucial. The Chargers escaped with a win that could loom large in the AFC’s crowded Wild Card race.
Meanwhile, Hurts endured one of the worst passing performances of his career. He completed just 21 of 40 throws for 240 yards and four interceptions. That turnover avalanche overshadowed Barkley’s 122-yard day and Philadelphia’s otherwise solid defensive effort. The loss dropped the Eagles to 8-5 and tightened the NFC East race far more than they expected heading into December.
Here we'll try to look at and discuss the Philadelphia Eagles' playoff chances and their updated odds after their Week 14 win over the Chargers.
Eagles still strong, but cracks are showing
The Eagles still control the NFC East. They have a two-game lead over the Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1), and their playoff odds remain strong. Models project a final record of 11-6, good for the NFC’s No. 3 seed. Their postseason probability sits at 92 percent, with a similar percentage to clinch the division. That said, the loss to the Chargers exposed troubling trends for a team that expects to contend for the conference crown.
The most alarming development is Hurts’ recent slump. His four-interception outing dragged the offense into its second straight loss. It widened the gap between the Eagles and the conference’s top seeds: the 10-3 Rams and 9-3-1 Packers. Hurts’ aggressiveness remains an asset. Still, his turnover rate is rapidly becoming a liability that has shaved the margin for error off this roster.
The schedule, however, remains favorable. The Eagles face the Raiders in Week 15, then the Commanders twice with a trip to Buffalo sandwiched in between. Three of those opponents are out of playoff contention. That gives Philadelphia ample opportunity to stabilize its offense and recalibrate its defensive rotations. Those have shown fatigue down the stretch. They boast less than a 1 percent chance of securing a first-round bye. At 5 percent, though, their odds of repeating as Super Bowl champions remain in reach. Of course that's provided Hurts and the offense course-correct immediately.
Massive OT win keeps Chargers alive
The Chargers’ overtime win cemented them as one of the AFC’s most resilient playoff contenders. With the victory, Los Angeles improved to the No. 5 seed. They also avoided falling into the dangerous tiebreaker cluster below the cut line. Their projected final record stands at 11-6, with a robust 78 percent chance of making the playoffs. They also have a 13 percent shot at overtaking Denver for the AFC West title.
Realistically, a division crown remains unlikely. The Broncos sit at 11-2 and are steamrolling toward a top-two seed. On the flip side, the Chargers have achieved what matters most: they now control their own destiny in the Wild Card race. Their 6-3 conference record gives them an important edge over similarly desperate teams like the Bills, Colts, Texans, Ravens and even the Chiefs.
The climb isn’t over, though. The Chargers' remaining schedule is brutal: trips to Kansas City and Dallas, a home clash with the Texans, and a road finale at Denver. Simply going 2-2 in that stretch may be enough to secure a postseason berth. However, anything less will reopen the door for Wild Card challengers.
Herbert will need cleaner performances. The two fumbles in Week 14 nearly doomed the Chargers. The offensive line must also protect him better against elite pass rushes ahead. The run defense remains fragile, too, and that weakness could be exposed against the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Broncos.
Thriller reshaped two playoff races
Week 14’s overtime battle delivered chaos and clarity. The Eagles remain in strong postseason shape but revealed troubling vulnerabilities that could cap their playoff ceiling. The Chargers overcame their own turnover woes to strengthen their path to January football. That said, they face a gauntlet that will test every inch of their resilience.
Both teams remain in the hunt but are also flawed. They now enter Week 15 knowing their postseason fate may hinge on how they respond to Sunday’s bonkers, exhausting, unforgettable finish.
